ONew Ironstone Tool for Business Creation and GSG Flight Path — New-2025 🤔

Rob Tyrie
11 min readJan 18, 2025

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OPPOSE+REACT: A New Playbook for Building Companies by Design—Not by Accident

[Toronto, Ontario, Canada] The Future, Jan 2026]

This is the continuing series of “future fiction" artifacts from the future based on technology available today. This idea to prompt people to create new things and new services. The method has been proven at Amazon and other companies, what if all your startups started with a press release from the near future?

TODAY marks the unveiling of OPPOSE+REACT, a bold new guide and manifesto for leaders determined to meet the relentless pace of disruption head-on. Offering a fresh take on strategy design, execution, and continuous adaptation, OPPOSE+REACT fuses timeless wisdom from ancient philosophers with cutting-edge approaches like Agile, Lean, and advanced data analytics. The result: a practical, forward-thinking framework for building resilient organizations that thrive in complexity.

Below is the story of how OPPOSE+REACT emerged, why it stands on the shoulders of giants, and what it means for the future of companies, governments, and anyone seeking a method to think deeply and act decisively in uncertain times.
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A Framework Forged in Complexity

In ancient Greece, Socrates taught the art of inquiry—the willingness to question assumptions and relentlessly pursue truth through debate. Socrates’s foundational principle was a simple but profound notion: “The unexamined life is not worth living.” This hunger to test every idea—to “oppose” complacency—resonates through the centuries in thinkers like Plato, who systematized the quest for knowledge, and Aristotle, who pioneered empirical observation.

OPPOSE+REACT, at its core, channels this Socratic imperative. It posits that no lasting innovation—be it in a new software product or the design of an entire enterprise—can blossom if teams refuse to probe and test their assumptions. This is the genesis of the OPPOSE cycle: Observe, Probe, Predict, Optimize, Strategize, Execute. It’s a purposeful break from the old “plan once and never look back” approach, placing contrarian thinking, scenario exploration, and rigorous testing front and center.

On the flip side, modern markets demand more than just a strong plan. Even the best strategy can become outdated within months—or days—due to shifts in technology, customer expectations, or macroeconomic shocks. Here is where the REACT cycle—Review, Evaluate, Adapt, Communicate, Track—comes to life. It ensures that organizations remain continuously agile, pivoting as new data streams in, reassigning resources, and staying aligned with both internal stakeholders and the external market.

Together, OPPOSE + REACT form a complete design-and-adaptation loop for organizations. One part stands against the status quo (OPPOSE), guaranteeing that all assumptions are tested and refined; the other (REACT) ensures that, once in motion, the organization remains keenly responsive to real-world feedback.
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Standing on the Shoulders of Giants

OPPOSE+REACT is not a reinvention from scratch. Rather, it’s an evolution of key wisdom from:

Sun Tzu, who declared in The Art of War that victory belongs to those who adapt fastest to changing conditions. His emphasis on flexible strategy and deep understanding of context underpins OPPOSE+REACT’s cyclical nature.

Rene Descartes, championing systematic doubt, urging us to question everything we consider “true.” The OPPOSE phase channels this principle by forcing leaders to examine assumptions before committing to major bets.

Adam Smith, who explored economic feedback loops and the “invisible hand,” laying groundwork for the idea that systems are dynamic, not static. Modern business thinkers like Peter Drucker and W. Edwards Deming picked up the baton, insisting that continuous improvement emerges from data-driven reflection.

Edwards Deming’s Plan-Do-Check-Act (PDCA) approach directly informs REACT. Deming taught that iterative learning is crucial in quality management—an ethos that resonates strongly in modern software development, including Agile and Lean Startup (Eric Ries).

Peter Senge, author of The Fifth Discipline, illuminated the importance of systems thinking, showing that organizations are not simply collections of departments but interconnected networks of processes and people. OPPOSE systematically examines these feedback loops, ensuring decisions reflect the reality of how systems actually behave, not how we wish they behaved.

Adam Grant (in Think Again), who emphasizes rethinking and contrarian analysis to overcome overconfidence and groupthink. The “Probe” step of OPPOSE is indebted to Grant’s insight that constructive doubt fosters more robust ideas.

BUST Out
When we say OPPOSE+REACT stands on the shoulders of giants, we mean it respects the inheritance of centuries of inquiry—philosophical, scientific, and business-oriented. This is a key source of the framework’s legitimacy: it is not a passing fad but a synthesis of the most enduring wisdom on thinking rigorously and acting with agility.
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Breaking Down OPPOSE+REACT

1. OPPOSE

Observe: Gather holistic data—market trends, customer insights, operational metrics. Like Aristotle, who stressed empirical evidence, we start by casting the widest possible net for facts.

Probe: Question assumptions. This is where the Socratic tradition of “Why?” “What if?” “How might we be wrong?” comes to life. Adam Grant’s “Think Again” approach reminds us to celebrate being wrong early, while it’s cheap and safe to pivot.

Predict: Use scenario modeling and forecasting tools to explore multiple futures—from best-case to worst-case. This is reminiscent of the Stoics’ “premeditatio malorum,” the mental exercise of envisioning adversity to better prepare.

Optimize: Identify the leverage points where a small intervention can have an outsized impact. Jay Forrester and Donella Meadows taught us that complex systems often have hidden nodes where you can effect massive change with minimal effort—if you can find them.

Strategize: Turn the insights from the earlier steps into a cohesive plan—defining vision, mission, strategic pillars, and resource allocation. This is where we see echoes of Sun Tzu, who insisted that thorough preparation paves the way for swift, decisive victory.

Execute: Launch the strategic initiatives, harnessing cross-functional alignment, budgets, and timelines. Drawing from the best of Lean project management, we detail who does what by when, with success metrics spelled out before we set sail.
2. REACT

Review: Actively monitor actual performance in relation to established targets. A nod to Deming’s “Study” phase.

Evaluate: Pinpoint root causes of any gaps, using data analytics, user feedback, or contrarian reviews.

Adapt: Pivot the plan, reassign resources, or revise the timeline based on evidence, not just intuition. This is the heart of agile thinking: micro-corrections that prevent macro-failure.

Communicate: Keep everyone—team members, stakeholders, even customers—aligned on changes. From Plato’s Academy to modern corporate boards, dialogue fosters unity of purpose.

Track: Maintain metrics and lessons learned in a living knowledge base, fueling the next iteration of OPPOSE. Over time, the entire organization develops a muscle memory for navigating complexity.

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Applying OPPOSE+REACT to Designing Companies

While many frameworks focus on product development, OPPOSE+REACT addresses the design of the entire organization. From mission statements to market expansions, from cultural norms to technology ecosystems, the methodology ensures every dimension is guided by a cycle of contrarian testing and continuous adaptation.

1. Cultural Transformation

Embedding a “contrarian mindset” isn’t about encouraging cynicism; it’s about fostering psychological safety for challenging the status quo. By layering OPPOSE, leaders can systematically invite healthy debate and critique.

Simultaneously, REACT fosters a culture of continuous learning: employees see a direct link between data insights and strategic pivots, reinforcing that no plan is beyond reproach and no feedback is off-limits.

2. Structuring Teams

Multidisciplinary squads tackle each step. For instance, in “Probe,” experts from finance, engineering, user experience, and marketing each question assumptions from their vantage points. This cross-pollination leads to robust insights rarely found in siloed orgs.

In “Adapt,” teams have the autonomy to reconfigure themselves or reallocate budgets if the data calls for it, preventing the dreaded “department vs. department” tug-of-war.

3. Long-Term Vision, Short-Term Flexibility

The “Strategize” step clarifies a company’s big bets—where it aims to excel in 3–5 years. Yet “REACT” ensures each quarter is ground-truthed, with real-time metrics dictating incremental course corrections. This keeps a lofty vision but cements an iterative execution style.

4. Ecosystem Partnerships

In an interconnected world, no company stands alone. The “Observe” phase encourages scanning the broader ecosystem—potential partners, supply chain constraints, regulatory changes. By spotting synergy or friction early, organizations can Optimize alliances or mitigate disruptions long before they become crises.

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A Manifesto for the Future

At its heart, OPPOSE+REACT is a manifesto for radical curiosity and adaptive learning. We must not only oppose conventional wisdom—especially when it’s rooted in old assumptions—but also continuously react to evolving conditions. This dynamic interplay fosters a new breed of company: one that thrives amidst uncertainty, turning complexity into strategic advantage.

1. Relentless Exploration: Dare to question, dare to test. OPPOSE is about lifting every stone, shining light into every corner of the plan.

2. Empirical Rigor: Strategies should be data-informed and scenario-tested. Predictive analytics, user research, and contrarian critiques form the bedrock of well-founded decisions.

3. Ethical & Responsible: A company by design must consider not just immediate profit but also its impact on employees, communities, and the planet. The REACT cycle can incorporate metrics like social responsibility or environmental footprints—adjusting practices in real time.

4. Unity of Execution: Teams and leadership must be in lockstep. Plans and pivots aren’t secret from employees; they’re openly shared, debated, and refined in a spirit of transparency.

This is all based on another framework that was missing a few components. Mintzberg may have predicted strategic planning is dead but we know he just wanted to bring it back in-house and put it in ALL roles. Brilliantly. I wanted to add more friction to drive innovation and challenge the status quo, leaning in to JOLT (Dixon). Observation an Prediction actions embolden connection with the market and ideal customers. Plus, these steps can be super powered with AI and AI agents. AI prediction capabilities make strategy economical inside organizations.

Honour to the originator re: 👇👇
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An Invitation to Innovators, Leaders, and Dreamers

In the spirit of Isaac Newton—who wrote, “If I have seen further, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants”—OPPOSE+REACT invites you to join a tradition of thinkers who refused to accept the status quo. From the Socratic dialogues of 2,500 years ago to the open-source machine learning tools of today, the principle remains consistent: Question, observe, and iterate.

If you are a startup founder, here is the blueprint to test your big idea in the real world, pivot rapidly, and cultivate an adaptable culture from day one. If you’re an executive in a Fortune 500, use OPPOSE+REACT to ensure your strategic transformation initiatives don’t stall under bureaucracy. If you’re a nonprofit director or public sector leader, apply these cycles to tackle social challenges—constantly measuring outcomes, challenging entrenched assumptions, and refining programs for the greater good.
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How to Get Involved

1. Read the Guide: The OPPOSE+REACT playbook offers step-by-step chapters, case studies, and templates to jumpstart adoption.

2. Attend Workshops: Interactive sessions help your teams learn how to run pre-mortems (Probe), set up real-time dashboards (Review), or build robust scenario maps (Predict).

3. Integrate Tools: AI-powered analytics can supercharge each phase. From advanced forecasting to anomaly detection, the synergy between OPPOSE+REACT and modern technology unlocks rapid, data-driven insights.

4. Contribute to the Community: The community behind OPPOSE+REACT welcomes new ideas, success stories, and local adaptations. Inspired by open-source movements, we invite collaboration to refine best practices and discover new edge cases.

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Looking Ahead

As the global economy navigates shifting geopolitics, climate imperatives, and accelerating digital transformation, the margin for error grows razor-thin. Strategies must not only be robust at inception but remain robust under continuous stress. In the same way a living organism adapts to new threats or opportunities in its environment, a “company by design” must do likewise.

OPPOSE+REACT is a living framework—one that evolves as fresh insights, technologies, and voices emerge. Already, we see the potential for synergy with machine learning pipelines, blockchain-based governance, and other advanced innovations that challenge how we typically think about org structures. The manifesto’s authors promise ongoing updates, ensuring that as the business and technological landscapes shift, the methodology keeps pace.

Yet, for all its forward-looking posture, let’s not forget the ancient origins: Socrates demanding we question everything; Sun Tzu reminding us to remain agile in the face of adversity; the Stoics urging us to anticipate adversity to better handle it. These lessons remain as relevant today as they were millennia ago. The difference? We now have the computational power, global connectivity, and managerial science to implement them more systematically, at scale.

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Back to the Future

With the public launch of OPPOSE+REACT, we offer leaders a useful playbook—shaped by centuries of philosophical inquiry, guided by modern best practices in strategy and product development, and fueled by the unstoppable wave of data and analytics technologies. It is at once a guide (full of practical frameworks and templates) and a manifesto (championing a contrarian spirit and relentless adaptability).

The message is clear: Stop building your company by accident. Start designing it—one cycle at a time. OPPOSE old assumptions to create a truly informed plan, then REACT swiftly to feedback to avoid the slow death of complacency. The future belongs to those who dare to adapt, who continually refine their vision, and who welcome the unexpected as a chance to innovate.

As the philosopher Heraclitus once said, “Change is the only constant.” OPPOSE+REACT is a call to embrace that constant, to harness it, and to turn it into an advantage. For innovators, entrepreneurs, and established enterprises alike, the time is now to step forward, question the status quo, and thrive in the midst of change.

Welcome to the new era of building companies by design.

End Notes

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Bibliography

1. Ashby, W. R. (1956). An Introduction to Cybernetics. Chapman & Hall.

Classic text on systems and cybernetics, foundational to understanding feedback loops and adaptation.

2. Norman, D. A. (2013). The Design of Everyday Things. Basic Books.

Explores usability and the psychology behind design decisions.

3. Senge, P. M. (2006). The Fifth Discipline: The Art and Practice of the Learning Organization. Crown Business.

Discusses systems thinking and its applications in organizational design.

4. Tufte, E. R. (2001). The Visual Display of Quantitative Information. Graphics Press.

A guide to visualizing data effectively and clearly.

5. Mintzberg, H., Ahlstrand, B., & Lampel, J. (1998). Strategy Safari: A Guided Tour Through the Wilds of Strategic Management. Free Press.

A comprehensive overview of strategic management frameworks.

6. Vitruvius. (1960). The Ten Books on Architecture (M. H. Morgan, Trans.). Dover Publications. (Original work ~15 BCE)

Ancient treatise on architecture, offering insights into classical design principles.

7. Aristotle. (2009). The Nicomachean Ethics (D. Ross, Trans.). Oxford University Press.

Foundation for understanding human action and purpose in a philosophical context.

8. Plutarch. (1914). Lives. Loeb Classical Library.

A source of historical and moral insight, relevant to leadership and legacy.

9. Goldratt, E. M. (1984). The Goal: A Process of Ongoing Improvement. North River Press. Wonderful first person narrative. (Also read The Phoenix Project, a software version of “ToC)

Introduces the Theory of Constraints and its applications in business processes.

10. Simon, H. A. (1996). The Sciences of the Artificial. MIT Press.

Explores the design of systems and how artificial constructs interact with human systems.

11. Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow. Farrar, Straus and Giroux.

Examines cognitive biases and decision-making processes.

12. Grant, A. (2016). Originals: How Non-Conformists Move the World. Viking.

Discusses creativity and innovation in organizational settings.

13. Maeda, J. (2006). The Laws of Simplicity. MIT Press.

Provides principles for simplifying design in complex systems.

14. Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Random House. ( The read Fooled By Randomness followed by Antifragile. The Thee should be remixed into one book #ia #idea).

Analyzes uncertainty and its effects on decision-making and strategy.

15. Schein, E. H. (2010). Organizational Culture and Leadership (4th ed.). Jossey-Bass.

Explains the role of culture in shaping organizational effectiveness.

16. Osterwalder, A., & Pigneur, Y. (2010). Business Model Generation: A Handbook for Visionaries, Game Changers, and Challengers. Wiley.

A practical guide to creating and innovating business models.

17. Nielsen, J. (1994). Usability Engineering. Morgan Kaufmann.

Covers the principles of designing user-friendly systems and interfaces.

18. Schön, D. A. (1983). The Reflective Practitioner: How Professionals Think in Action. Basic Books.

Examines how professionals adapt and innovate in real-time problem-solving.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS METHOD -
Contact: Rob Tyrie , rob.tyrie@gmail.com
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Rob Tyrie
Rob Tyrie

Written by Rob Tyrie

Founder, Grey Swan Guild. CEO Ironstone Advisory: Serial Entrepreneur: Ideator, Thinker, Maker, Doer, Decider, Judge, Fan, Skeptic. Keeper of Libraries

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