The Leap Day of the Swan 2024 — A Grey Swan Guild Production 💛🦢

Rob Tyrie
4 min readMar 12, 2024

Dive into the Future of Work: The Leap Day of the Swan Event by The Grey Swan Guild — Feb 29, 2024

LDOTS — 2024

Imagine a world of work transformed. The way we work is constantly evolving, and The Grey Swan Guild’s Leap Day of the Swan event was a chance to explore what the future holds. This Sensemaking live event gathering broughtt together forward-thinking minds to grapple with the challenges and opportunities of remote work, a trend that’s reshaping our professional landscape. In the exploration we used a new tool to think about Remote work and working from home and the impacts it is having on us, our communities and our businesses and organizations. We know all of this has an impact on societies and economies everywhere in the world.

Charting Your Course Through Change

The event kicked off with a thought-provoking pre-read that dives deep into the current state of remote work. Leading Analysts gained insights from experts and industry leaders, exploring both the benefits and drawbacks of this growing trend.

Here are some key questions we examined:

  • What are the biggest challenges associated with remote work, and how can we overcome them?
  • What were the issues maintaining boundaries, communication, and healthy habits while working remotely?
  • How can companies foster a strong company culture even with a distributed workforce?

The Future Wheel: A Tool for Collaborative Foresight

The Leap Day of the Swan event goes beyond theory, offering a hands-on experience with the Future Wheel.

Wikipedia: The futures wheel is a method for graphical visualization of direct and indirect future consequences of a particular change or development. It was invented by Jerome C. Glenn in 1971 when he was a student at the Antioch Graduate School of Education (now Antioch University New England).

This innovative tool is designed to help you visualize the potential ripple effects of change across first, second and third-order effects of a change or new trend.

Here’s how a Futures Wheelworks:

  1. Identify a central theme. This could be a major shift in remote work practices or a technological advancement that impacts how we work.
  2. Spin the wheel outwards. Brainstorm the secondary consequences of this central theme, connecting them with lines to the center circle. Identify effect directly, then identify the effects of the new effects.
  3. Keep exploring. Unveil the further-reaching effects by adding additional layers to your Future Wheel to get a range of interdependent effects that ripple out from, in this case, working from home.

By working together in a collaborative environment, attendees used a Future Wheel to map out the potential futures of remote work. This will spark critical thinking and discussion, helping Swans to anticipate and prepare for the coming changes. In this case, we chose to use one large Miro Board for 4 workshops to independently gather impacts and first, second and third order effects.

Breakout Sessions: Deep Dives into Specific Topics

The Leap Day of the Swan event isn’t just about big-picture thinking. Breakout sessions allowed us to delve deeper into specific aspects of remote work that matter to individuals and capture their points of view of matter that accest others. These interactive sessions were designed to foster focused discussions and generate actionable insights. It was quite the experiment to see a futures-wheel created by more than 60 people evolving in real time right in front of us.

These were some of the things that emerged from the workshops.

  • Optimizing remote work for peak productivity. What new tools did you start depending on?
  • How did video meetings take part of your work?
  • Building strong remote teams and fostering collaboration? What new teams did you join? Why?
  • Maintaining a healthy work-life balance in a remote environment? What changes in your life and your family’s lives did your change
  • The future of office space: How will physical workplaces evolve?

Potential Outcomes/Takeaways:

  1. Need to re-evaluate physical office space assets vs. costs as utilization patterns change.
  2. Requirement for new leadership development and employee engagement models in a remote setup.
  3. Addressing mental health and work-life balance challenges of blurred boundaries.
  4. Exploring dispersed/hybrid workplace models, co-working hubs, virtual team building, etc.
  5. Understanding financial impacts — cost savings vs. losses in support ecosystems.
  6. Reimagining collaboration, creativity, mentorship in a virtual environment.
  7. Preparing for workforce’s evolving preferences around flexibility and autonomy.

The event highlighted the complex, multifaceted nature of this transition. As an organization, we need to closely monitor emerging best practices and proactively adapt our strategies around remote work policies, talent management, technology investment and overall workplace experience.

The Leap Day of the Swan — The Outcome of a Future Wheel Analysis of Working From Home

The Leap Day of the Swan wasn’t just a one-day event. The Grey Swan Guild invites attendees to contribute to a comprehensive report on the future of work, to be published by March 21, 2024. This report will capture the key learnings and insights generated during the event, offering valuable guidance for businesses and professionals navigating the evolving world of work.

Rob Tyrie is an systems analyst and a founder of the WWW.GREYSWANGUILD.ORG

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Rob Tyrie

Founder, Grey Swan Guild. CEO Ironstone Advisory: Serial Entrepreneur: Ideator, Thinker, Maker, Doer, Decider, Judge, Fan, Skeptic. Keeper of Libraries